10NL ACR Blitz: 2 difficult situations with overpairs (1 Viewer)

[boltonguy]

Would be interested in feedback from people on these hands.

Hand #1: No useful HUD stats.

Hero RFI 2.4 BB in LJ with #1. BB calls.

Flop comes high and connected but generally good for Hero's range - I think the King favors me, and I have all suited Aces for the NFD (so does V but his range is diluted by lots of other hands). With the FD on the flop, hero cbets 1/2 pot. V X/R to 3x.

Hero raises. This is probably a mistake. I think I should have just called - I will put this in the solver - calling closes the action.
The raise will probably fold out his bluffs and get a call from stronger hands - but really, he has 33 but I dont think he flats KK. Maybe 50% of players flat JJ in BB.
So maybe 6 combos of 33 and 3 combos of JJ for 9 combos that crush me compared to many more flush draws.
In any case V jams. We just have to fold here right? Especially as he's jamming > 100BBs?
Note that the equities arent correct as we dont know V's hole cards.

Hand #2: No useful HUD stats.
Hero RFI 2.2 BB in LJ with QQ. BB calls.

Although the flop is better for V's range, with the overpair Hero cbets 1/2 pot. Probably a X here - will put this in the solver too. I think it is a mix.

V X/R to about 3x. I dont think a set is X/R here and there are several straight draws out there: 56/68/8T/JT for 64 combos.
Hero calls.
Turn completes 56/JT (so half the draws get there) and V fires again for 3/4 pot. Again, I folded here - thoughts?

 

[LotsOfChips]

Same villain? He chased you out of the first pot, so maybe he thought that he could do it again…?

First jam might have been TPTK, depending on V’s tendencies, or it might have been top 2 or even TP with a FD.

I would want to see how V played against others, and if he has shoved or X/R and then shown lesser holdings.

But the prudent move is fold to that much aggression, so I can’t fault you for the first fold.

Second fold seems kinda soft, but it’s not my money at stake here.

 

[warma]

First one is interesting. There a lot of reasons why someone would have shoved, not all of them bad for us. I would have foolishly called out of curiosity.

Same with the second, it’s so hard to understand motivations. Do they have it, are they a bully, are they bad at poker? Seems aggressive for an inside straight draw or an 8X draw.

 

[boltonguy]

Hand 1: solver does prefer a smaller cbet but is a mix of X/bet .25/bet .5/bet pot, etc. The raise is a pure call without Ah. Want to keep the NFD in V's range. So given that I played in a way that the solver wouldnt, no way to see what it would do with the jam. Solver does mostly call a jam with the Ah.

Hero cbet decision:

Hero X/R decision:

Solver calling jam as a mix with Ah

V's raising range is heavy with sets and 2 pair:

 

[boltonguy]

Hand 2: solver is playing flop as a mix of X/.25pot/.5pot with our exact hand, at 33/36/31%

Solver is mostly calling and some raising the flop X/R:

And folding our hand at 90% to the turn bet (I screwed up the turn bet sizing so it is a bit small, maybe solver folds more to the larger turn bet):

 

[boltonguy]

With the larger turn bet size, our hand is very much a pure fold: