AKs in the blinds (1 Viewer)

DrStrange

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We are playing $0.25/$0.50 ($20 max buy-in) eight handed. Hero is playing a lot of hands out of the blinds or UTG. The stacks are mostly short, leading to "easy" decisions without much implied odds / reverse implied odds. This is the next of several hands, which are not being posted in order of occurrence.

Cast of characters:

Hero has the small blind and $40 in chips. He has been exceptionally active pre-flop in bad position. Things have been up and down a lot for Hero's stack. Obviously Hero isn't causing much fear even if he is making a lot of action.

BB plays with $25. She is sticky and loose. Her game is characterized by a weird form of micro aggression - "fixed limit" style betting in a NL game. Bets $1 or $2 with less than top pair, $2 or $3 is top pair. $3 to $5 is the nuts or close to it. Pot size could be $100 and she will bet $3.

UTG +1 has $75 in chips. Sticky, passive and loose. She will take chances to go after Hero's chips in places she might fold elsewhere.

Cougar is playing with $50. Tricky trappy, passive loose. He bets draws and slow plays good hands. If he comes out betting, it often is based on a hand value from the previous street.

Button is playing $60. She is our one more aggressive player - not quite TAG but definitely more aggressive than the rest of the table. Her default raise is $1.50.

The hand:

Two limps bring us to Button (UTG +1 and Cougar). She raises to $1.50.

Hero is in the small blind holding :ad: :kd:

Action on Hero. Fold, call $1.50 or raise? If raising, how much?
 
You stated that your increased action isn't causing fear and the table is loose with UTG+1 wanting your stack. Do you feel like building a pot early with AKdd? I'm not sure a small raise gets rid of anybody. I'm leaning towards a call as the BB will probably give away her hand strength as you have a good read on her. Probably a call here. The button may have similar holdings or a middle pair. I think call here. If BB raises, I might pop it again if the rest of the table goes away.
 
Raise to $4. Nice spot to bluff if the flop doesn't work out.
 
$5 raise pre. Assuming no 4-bet and only the one caller, I c-bet any flop for $8. Any more callers than that I evaluate the board.
 
Make it $5 straight. Plan to c-bet any flop, and follow up with a turn shove if the spot is favorable.

23266068.jpg
 
*** the flop ***

Hero makes it $5 to go. UTG+1 and button call, the rest fold. Three way action, $16 in the pot. Hero holds :ad: :kd: with $35 left behind.

Flop is: :8c: :4d: :3c:

Action on Hero. Bet or check? If betting how much?
 
Two overs and a three flush? Perfect way to continue with @Jimulacrum plan of c-betting and shoving the turn, especially if the turn is any Ace, King, or diamond. Bet $8 - $12.
 
Bet $15. Im hoping the rest fold at this point.
 
C-bet of $10–12 seems in order. Folding to a raise, obviously, but otherwise preparing to shove most turns if this c-bet gets it heads-up.

If the c-bet does not get it heads-up, we will have to reassess.
 
*** the turn ***

Hero bets $10 into the $16 pot, leaving $25 behind. UTG+1 folds, button snap calls, the rest fold. It is heads-up, $36 in the pot. Hero holds :ad: :kd: with $25 left behind.

Turn is: < :8c: :4d: :3c: > :jd:

Action on Hero. Bet or check? If betting less than all-in, why?
 
I wonder why the button raised $1.50 preflop. That's a pot building raise, right?
And the snap call after the flop? You'd like to think that was theatrics and she's drawing to a flush, but I'd be concerned that she's hit a set, and you need the flush to win.
I hate to do it, but I think I'm check-folding here, unless she gives me that river card awfully cheap.
 
If you check, and the villain shoves, are you calling? two overs, nut draw? Hmmm... Hard to lay that down for $25. If you're calling any shove, then I'd vote you put the decision on the villain. Shove. Then just plan on binking an A, K, or any diamond.

Checking is bad IMHO, since if you do hit your flush, you won't likely see any action or value. And you're allowing the villain to put pressure on you.
 
and pot committed anyway.

Are you? Sorry for the tangent, but help me understand this, because I understand pot-committed only in vague and extreme ways. Why is he pot-committed? Is it because at this point, he's got less behind than is in the pot? I think his odds of winning this hand have to come into play there too, right?
 
Villain's standard raise is $1.50 - a Phil Gordon 3x the big blind raise.

No thinking villain is going to see a runner-runner flush draw come in where Hero bet on air then a semibluff backdoor draw and snap fold in fear. Maybe in an Omaha game, but not in a hold'em game.

Hero is close to pot committed. He has, at best, 15 outs and at worst 7 outs if Villain is ahead. But villain could be on her own flush draw where Hero is way ahead.
 
*** Results ***

Hero jams all in. Villain goes into the tank but eventually calls. Villain tables :9c: :9s:.

Hero misses all his draws on the river and is felted.

Take note that there is a significant strategy decision buried in the flop bet sizing. Hero must not make the flop bet too big if he is thinking about a second bluff on the turn. If the flop bet is too big, it makes the pot size too tempting vs hero's smaller shove. As played it was a $25 bet into a $36 pot (70% pot). Compare that to a $14 flop bet which leads to a $21 shove into a $44 pot (48%). The smaller flop bet is going to get folds just about as often as the larger one might - Hero gains little from risking the extra $4. But the turn decision gets easier for villain from the change in the pot size and Hero's smaller second barrel.

DrStrange
 
AK strikes again. I don't like that hand.

Last time I played cash in a casino, a few weeks ago, I got felted twice with AK.
A week later in a tournament, with AA, I lost over half my stack to AK.
No, not currently a fan.
 
It seems in my hands I either win small or lose big with it. I think it plays better as a tourney hand when you are all in pre flop
 

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