boltonguy
Flush
Don't have enough hands on V for HUD stats to be meaningful.
V RFI 2.5BB from HJ and folds to Hero on BN with TT.
Hero?
V RFI 2.5BB from HJ and folds to Hero on BN with TT.
Hero?
I find it hard to believe that TT on the button is not a 3 bet vs HJ open.pokercoaching.com says without any additional info on villain it's a pure call.
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That being said, I usually raise 3x here.
If you switch effective stacks to 150bb you get to raise 41% of the time. As I said, even at 100bb I raise here pretty much 100% of the time.I find it hard to believe that TT on the button is not a 3 bet vs HJ open.
I like a 3 bet, but here are a couple reasons why a call would be good:I find it hard to believe that TT on the button is not a 3 bet vs HJ open
I see this spot a decent bit, not always in 3 and 4 bet pots, but monotone boards are almost always bet for 1/3 pot or less.I think being OOP, V has an incentive to 4! hands he would call IP in order to spin up FE and avoid playing a bloated pot OOP.
So I think his 4! range is somewhat "wide" here with AA, KK, QQ, AK perhaps obviously but also AQs - ATs, A5s and some suited connectors like KQs, KJs, KTs, QJs. In game I felt that it was likely that I was ahead of most of V's range here except of course AA, KK, QQ, AQ, KQ so Hero's hand needs some protection.
V also X flop - as the preflop aggressor this check likely weakens his range on this specific board.
Hero bet 1/2 pot and V calls. After the fact I put this in Snowie - Snowie has this as a pure bet at 25% pot.
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In any case, the turn pairs the board and V X. Hero?
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Bet 10-15 bb's.Hero does make the call. Gonna be tough for V to play this pot OOP at this SPR IMHO.
Position will give us major advantages post flop even if we miss a set.
Flop is monotone and V checks. Hero?
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Bet 10-15 bb's.
WOOT!Hero bet 1/2 pot and V calls. After the fact I put this in Snowie - Snowie has this as a pure bet at 25% pot.
Also, I've heard Snowie is sometimes pretty far off of Nash (not sure on this), but I wanted to check it out in GTOWizard.
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TT is pretty indifferent here, but the majority of your range is checking. Also it's nice to know that 25% or less is ideal, with 10% being the primary choice.
What's more interesting is HJ's choice, which is a pure bet:
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I just don't see an overpair folding enough unless you get the fourth spade, and then you have showdown value. As played, if I had AA or KK, I am calling you down. If I had AK with no spade, I fold the flop. If I have AK with a spade, I call a turn shove.Yes as the 4-bettor he has the initiative on the flop and I think HJ has a pure bet flop for 25% - 33%. His X here suggests to me that he is not strong so middle of his range and bluffs are still in. When he calls my 1/2 pot bet I believe that he is capped. We remove the 4! bluffs from his range (e.g. A5dd) but he still has middle strength hands. We probably have little to no SDV here after this call as many of his "medium" strength hands (relative to this monotone flop) beat TT at SD. Now the board pairs making it scarier for V.
So how would we attack a capped range on a super scary board when IP ....??
That's all I needed to see!BTW solver does NOT like this jam - wants to X down after the flop call.