Pecaski vs. Obrestad (1 Viewer)

[AdamAAAA]

Hello guys, I hope this is okay posting this here.

As part of my continued learning I've been watching back the old WSOP main events on YouTube and a particular confrontation got me thinking.

Fast forward to 16:50 and you'll see Obrestad calls Pecaski's all in, for less than 20% of her stack. She holds against Pecaski's

Pecaski seem irritated about the call, and presumably he thought he could collect the blinds with an all in. I don't know. But he says, "how can she call with ace jack, she's meant to be a pro?"

I guess what I'm wondering is, has he said this because he's pissed he's out, or because this was a bad call?

 

[Potsie1]

I cant really tell from the video if she was in the blinds or where the raise and call came from. However it seems pretty obvious to me he said it because hes pissed off. Sometimes that all in wreaks of a medium strength hand. She made a good call with very little risk to her stack and a chance to bust someone. Just my opinion.

 

[AdamAAAA]

Yeah it's not great coverage, and that's the only thing that's confusing me. Even so, 170k to call means perhaps she raised originally and he re-raised all in and she called?

Perhaps you're right and he is just pissed because he busted.

 

[spikeithard]

not sure why is was mad she called? she was the dog. Got what he wanted, just not the outcome.

 

[dickzapper]

I haven't watched yet but I'd go all-in blind on the fact that he's projecting his anger about his own play. Only a fool would assume he'll hit 100% of his 51% flips! SMH!

 

[Jimulacrum]

Off the bat, Obrestad is getting a hair over 1.8:1 to call in a spot where she will typically end up against a range like all pairs, the larger aces, and maybe some other Broadway combinations. It's a no-brainer call in all cases but the biggest 4 pairs, AK, and AQ. We also hear Obrestad say she saw Pecaski shove with K7o, so his range here may be even wider than this.

Equity-wise, without being able to properly account for the wideness of his shoving range, I'd say it's close, so I'd tend to make this decision based on broader strategy considerations. Pretty much all of them lean toward a call:

• She is presumably closing the action with her call.
• Calling does not significantly threaten her stack.
• Losing and winning will both change table stack dynamics in a way that favors her.*
• A loose-looking call in this spot may dissuade other players from making moves on her, i.e., make them more predictable.

*If she loses, Pecaski will have a more medium-ish stack. If she wins, a short stack will be eliminated. Both cases are favorable for a deep-stacked player to steal blinds and small pots.

My verdict: It was a fine call. Pecaski is just whining because he lost. I doubt he'd complain if he had doubled up.

 

[Mental Nomad]

Jimulacrum's analysis seems pretty solid to me.

Pecaski either advertised or had to show down that he shoved with K7o - but now he's upset that his legitimate pair isn't taken as necessarily legitimate? He needs to be more aware of his table image.

 

[Ronoh]

not sure why is was mad she called? she was the dog. Got what he wanted, just not the outcome.

Got what he wanted? Uhhh..... no....... I can pretty much guarantee he did not want to be called by AJo in that spot.

 

[Anthony Martino]

After he asks "how can you make that call?" she says "it was thirteen blinds...........cause I knew he wasn't calling" and obviously she mentions she's seen him in there with K7 so she knows he's capable of shoving light here. Obviously she ranged his shoving range and figured AJ was good enough against that range to make the call.