PLO deep oop (1 Viewer)

[onerand]

1-2 blinds with 5 to go.

Villain recently got back from dinner break. Game was friendly before, but he is crossing over into cocky asshole drunk territory. Not all the way there yet, that would take another half hour. He covers table with 2000. Range is super wide. He has been potting and barrling air, draws, two pairs on turns that complete flushes, etc. Running well. One limper and Villain pots to 20. If he takes the lead he hammers away.

Button calls. Friendly man but hammered. He is down to 900 ftom 1700 peak.

I am trying to play as many pots with button and call with Ah5h99 in the small blind with 1400. Villain and I have some history at this table. He stacked me with middle set against top and bottom on an 832ss board and I doubled through him with top 2 on A92hh. We are almost 300 completes deep.

Limper calls and we go 4 ways.

Flop is jh 8h 7d. Action? Ends up checking to Villain who pots 85. Only I call.

Turn is Ac. Action? I check and Villain pots to 255 without much thought.

I forgot I held blockers to the straight on the flop when I checked. Was aware of it on the turn.

 

[trever]

Your options are wide open so I'm curious to see how the crowd goes on this one. I imagine that "embrace variance" is going to be a big part of the advice you get.

If you think that you've got fold equity; repot it now.
If you think he'll call a river bet when you hit your flush, call.
If you want to get away from an expensive, marginal spot, fold now.

 

[DrStrange]

Can Hero reasonably pay a river pot bet to find out if a pair of aces is good enough? Villain sounds wild enough that top pair / weak kicker could be good but Hero will need to tell us if that is true enough to pay one more big bet. It could be hero should be repotting - can this villain fold a hand like bottom two facing a big bet?

Otherwise, Hero is drawing roughly at 1/5 but paying 1/3 if all we consider is the flush draw. He will need villain to pay off on the river (or more likely bet/bluff the river. VS a capable villain, I fold. Vs this guy, Hero stands to get paid off on the river a fair amount of time but the pay off isn't very sweet relative to the risk. Four times in five hero loses $255, the fifth time Hero wins $1,530 for an expected value of $51

However, I think hero has a lot more equity that just the flush draw. I think a river off-suit six makes a winning straight. I wonder if a nine might make a scary board but a winning set. I wonder if Hero makes trip aces to win. Even if the board pairs, hero might end up with a better two pair than some hands in the villain range.

The safe play is call the turn and hope to hit a draw. Check/pot the turn is risky if the villain can't fold, but likely is the right play given Hero holds blockers to the straight.

 

[Chippy McChiperson]

I'd pot, given that you have two blockers to the nuts, and if he decides to go with it you have a pretty good redraw. check-call/check-repot looks super strong, and even if he has the AA which he is repping (he probably doesn't) he still has to think about folding.

 

[Adam Crowley]

It's a little difficult to determine how villain reacts in certain spots other than he fact that villain will keep barrelling if checked to.

I agree with chippy that check/pot/call is the better line on the turn here. The way you have played you are credibly repping the nut sraight with the nut flush redraw. Your blockers make this a great hand to do this with. You can fold better vs some player types and you can get calls from Kh flush draws in some cases as well.

 

[Ben]

This has got to be the textbook spot to C/R in PLO. Blockers to to the one straight, top set and top two, villain with a very wide range and plenty of equity if called. Hand not strong enough to call-check-call unimproved, but much too strong to even think about folding against this guy's range. The downside is I don't know that he's folding all that many better hands, but it's almost worth it just to fold out all his low-equity hands that he's going to blast off on brick rivers with, as we really can't call.

 

[onerand]

I wish I had led flop and turn. Brain freeze. I could not pull the trigger and did not like calling so I folded. Villain showed QhQ43. Button lost most of his stack soon, but I did not get any.