$1/$2 PLO8: Nut Low / Weak High (1 Viewer)

[Jimulacrum]

Hero is sitting behind about $700. Main relevant characters are Old Man Earbuds (~$250), about as nitty as they come, and Brooklyn (~$500), whose fold button must be in the shop or something. OME has won a pot or two, and Brooklyn is on a mini-heater after making some inadvisable calls. Hero has been getting such bad cards tonight that he's like 10% VPIP, but just won a huge pot, mostly from Brooklyn, in a scooped high-only pot less than an orbit ago.

Unremarkable limped straddle pot preflop. Flop goes 6-handed. Hero is UTG/straddle and holds 238T rainbow.

Flop comes A48 rainbow. Pot is $25.

SB and BB check, Hero bets $10, OME raises to $50, Brooklyn pots to $185.

Hero … ?

 

[DrStrange]

I worry that Hero is getting quartered by OME, but OME would have to worry about that too if Hero repots. Of course, OME might have a backup low where Hero is getting free rolled for the low half.

I can't say who has the edge in the $500 side pot. Hero's low is vulnerable to getting counterfeited, but Hero must has some draw to make the high. My gut feeling is Hero and Brooklyn are roughly 50/50 to sweep the side pot. Maybe Hero has an edge there?

I think Hero has more risk that reward from a repot but I think it would be a close decision. There has to be some chance OME is sitting on top set rather than the lock low.

Still, I don't much care for the situation. Let's sit this one out.

DrStrange

 

[stocky]

Flat. Like dr said there's the possibility of getting quartered so I would want to keep it multiway pot if possible if we are are playing. And I can't fold here.

 

[jbutler]

Fold imo. A true OME will have A23x, AAxx, 235x if he gets it all in here. So many better spots where you don't have to hope: (a) you're not getting quartered; (b) the very likely freeroll doesn't come in.

 

[NicholasAK]

I'd fold and wait for a better spot. You still have 3 people to act behind you as well. You have a vulnerable low, a weak high and no good draws.

 

[Jimulacrum]

Perhaps I didn't make this clear enough, but Brooklyn is not an aggressive player. He's generally loose-passive, calling off a lot of big bets with weak hands and draws. (He paid off my high-only hand earlier in the orbit for a $280 PSB with nothing but a low draw on the turn, drawing dead against the obvious nuts for high.) He rarely seems to take the lead like he has done in this hand.

With that in mind, between OME's raise indicating a probable nut low (at minimum) that he intends to take to showdown, and Brooklyn's raise indicating probable great strength on at least the high side, Hero folds.

OME gets the rest of his stack in against Brooklyn and turns up 234x, freerolling Brooklyn's high-only AAQJ. Board goes brick-brick and it's a chop.

I did ultimately escape being quartered, which felt nice, but this hand stuck in my brain for a good while after the session. Against Brooklyn alone, I'm freerolling to the high like OME was, but can I really ever expect to get it heads-up with Brooklyn? OME tends not to raise at all unless he intends to stick around. It's quite a thin draw to pay so dearly for unlikely freeroll potential. Surely there are much better spots in PLO8, especially against this lineup.

 

[moose]

Thanks for posting the hand.

 

[airball7]

Any nit here is going to have something like 235 or even worse, 2358. Proceed carefully - if you hit a 10 or 8 on the turn you can turn it up.

 

[DrStrange]

with the betting as high as it is, there is no space left to "proceed carefully". Hero is playing for stacks one way or the other if he calls.

 

[Jimulacrum]

with the betting as high as it is, there is no space left to "proceed carefully". Hero is playing for stacks one way or the other if he calls.

Yeah, there was no way I could reasonably commit that much and then even consider folding on a later round. I was either in all the way or out.