6-Max tournament hand on the bubble (1 Viewer)

[jemfernandez]

Result. Hero goes deep into the tank trying to figure out what hands he beats now and finally folds.

Table goes that Hero must have a set here. V2 doesn’t show his hand but when someone asked he said he bluffed with the Ace blocker because he didn't have showdown value.

 

[jemfernandez]

And this is why you should have bet bigger earlier.
There are soooo many things that beat you. Everything got there. As played, I’m folding 100% of the time here. Your two pair is beat by:
JJ
55
22
KK
AA
AK
Pretty much all of which could be in his range.
Also
K10
34
Any 2 spades
FoldFoldFold

I'm a tournament donk but for what it's worth, I would have got it all-in on the turn.

I think I prefer a larger raise on the turn, at least 3x but probably 3.5-4x.

Probably the worst card in the deck on the river

Let's think about what beats us in his range...

JJ, 22, 55, AA, KK, AK, 34s, A5ss, A3ss, A4ss I think are all within reason...stretching maybe to 45ss and 56ss

I don't think he gets to this spot with QT unless it's QTss exactly.

What are we beating that is still in his range...

A2o, A5o, AQo, and airball bluffs? I don't think he gets there with anything else...maybe KJo (strong maybe).

I think you have to fold.

I don't think the hand was played poorly. Given the recent action, a 3B preflop might not have really gotten you much information (he might call or 4b light with all of the hands that still beat us). I don't think you are chasing off any of the hands that we are beat by on the flop. You might chase off KK exactly on the turn, but I think everything else sticks around. You might get rid of random spades if you raise the turn as well I guess, but I don't know if he's going to double barrel a naked flush draw here.

He has KJo imho. But I’m folding here.

Thanks everyone for your thoughts here. I certainly was questioning how I should/could have played this differently. A preflop 3bet? Flop raise? Turn raise sizing or a turn Jam, but might seem a bit large, though it would lock up our equity and a decent pot at that point of time.

 

[v1pe]

Thanks everyone for your thoughts here. I certainly was questioning how I should/could have played this differently. A preflop 3bet? Flop raise? Turn raise sizing or a turn Jam, but might seem a bit large, though it would lock up our equity and a decent pot at that point of time.

I considered a turn jam, but I don't think you need to go that large for the same effect...his range is still very wide at this point since we've been passive. Unlucky run-out. Pretty ballsy bluff if he's only got TP with the As. Your hand looks a lot like a draw and the Ks brings in a bunch of those draws.

Thanks for the interesting hand.