These discussions always crack me up. I don't get why supply and demand concepts are so difficult for so many people to wrap their heads around. People keep coming up with these conspiracy theories like "fear of missing out", "price fixing by the insiders", "flippers", "it's all because we allow auctions", or "it's all
@Windwalker's fault", and before him it was "all
@Changster's fault".
It's pretty simple. Some of you are just overthinking it. The primary factors in any collectibles hobby are disposable income levels, the population size of interested parties, and the number of those collectibles available to the market. Each of these factors can be influenced in different ways, causing them to increase or decrease at any time.
Currently, despite numerous economic indicators otherwise showing a bad economy as a whole, the average person in the US has more disposable income than ever before (Planet Money recently had a podcast episode dedicated to this fact). The distribution is very polarized though. We are very much in an era of the haves and the have-nots. But those who have, on average, have considerably more disposable income than ever before. There are numerous contributing factors to why this is true (people spending less because of covid, economic "stimulus" packages, a juiced up/inflated US dollar, a strong stock market, bitcoin going to the moon, etc).
In the current covid era, a lot of people are staying home, looking for things to do. Millions of people are exploring new hobbies as they find themselves with more time on their hands. Hundreds (thousands?) of these people have found their way into this community. We've had an explosion of new members, it seems.
Meanwhile, the supply side of high level chips hasn't gone up at all recently. The last Paulson buy that I know of to hit our market was the Sunset Beach chips, and there weren't very many of those to begin with (only about 30,000 if I recall correctly). A lot has happened since then.
It's not just our hobby though. These factors are influencing every hobby. Even baseball card prices are blowing up. Even steroid using players banned from the HOF like Roger Clemens and Barry Bonds have seen their prices double and triple in value over the past 6 months.
It really is as simple as that. People have more money than they did before. More and more people are finding their way here. And new epic chip sets aren't able to meet the increased demand. So, buyers increase the amounts they're willing to pay for the sets that they want, and if those prices are deemed high enough to the potential sellers, then chips will change hands. At higher prices than before. There's also nothing we can do to prevent these price increases. A lot of the old time chippers here get pissy when they see chip prices increasing, calling names, bashing sellers, increasing their "do not sell to" lists, etc. But it's all futile. The market is what it is, and it's entirely driven by supply and demand.