I was the villian in the hand, not the hero! :wideeyed:
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:wideeyed
_O
:rage:
I portrayed this from my opponents perspective throughout to see if the line/bluff I took was credible enough to be profitable. On the flop, I need it to work about 55% of the time for that to be the case and the shove in the river needs about 40% of the time to be profitable.
As far as ranges go that flop hits my raise/call line PF much harder than it hits his 3bet range which is why I decided to CR. I could have 66 here through AA plus 56 suited on up plus some Ax suited combos. So all straights, sets, two pairs and draws. Yes I'm super LAG, but I don't think I ever have 55 here honestly. Once he calls the flop bet his range is narrowed to 88-AA, and maybe TJ.
I was going to shove almost all turns, but when the A hit I thought the check would seem stronger and knew that if he checked back his range would further be reduced so by the river I could narrow him down to exactly TT, JJ, QQ, KK and maybe (small chance) of having TJ. I figured 88, 99 and AA would be shoving and maybe even the TJ combo. Therfore I could save the bet if he had those hands. A hand like TT-KK would be thrilled to see the river. On the river he just happened to be holding the top of his range, which he should correctly never be folding. So basically if he can get to the river with TT, JJ, and QQ and folds those here (even if he calls with QQ) the shove is +EV. If he gets to the river with only QQ, KK or only KK and never folds the shove is terribad which is why I needed villian ranges (ie my perceived range) for the hand to be constructed without much bias.
The two hands I opened I already that didn't get exposed were JJ and AQs so just catching some hands.
Regarding making a move here I wanted to make a point early in the session that this particular villian isn't going to be able to 3bet me lightly and have an easy time playing those pots. I considered a 4bet PF, but elected to call and CR range favorable flops. I wanted to send a message for this session and in the future as I know this players reputation despite not playing much together. The bonus is I got major image points rolling that bluff over which paid off for the night and will continue to pay going forward with this villian. I eventually went to play the PLO game afterwards with a few players from this table and got PAID on a few key hands that I don't think I usually would've gotten paid had this not been such a memorable hand. A good $750 investment that netted me a 4 figure win for the evening in the NLHE + PLO game.
What made me post the hand was how fast I got called like it was an easy decision. I figured I had some fold equity on the river and was concerned that with the snap call that maybe I was wrong.