Changster
Full House
See, easy fold.
I’m sorta being serious but also sorta being sarcastic, since it’s “QUADS OMG!”
I’m sorta being serious but also sorta being sarcastic, since it’s “QUADS OMG!”
Here's what I know: In no-cap buy-in games, there are routinely stacks that are 1000+BB deep. It's not common to get it all in like you would in your typical $1-2 or $2-5 game when you start 50-200 BBs deep and can easily reload if you get felted. By raising to $21k leaving $42k behind, she left herself plenty of latitude to fold - knowing that her opponent could only jam with the nuts. She knew she wasn't paying off if her opponent jammed.
So it's a mindset of extracting max value while minimizing exposure. In short, she surmised a raise of that size would get get called by a couple of hands in her opponents' range... whereas if she raises and induces a fold she earns the same amount as if she'd simply flatted her opponent's reraise - with the added meta-game bonus of not having to table her hand, which against savvy opponents is definitely +EV.
As I think about it... I like the 4-bet raise more than I did when I first read about it. I don't care for any of the early street plays but maybe those lines are standard for that game.
The key to understanding her fold is also key to understanding why the hand played out the way it did on every street. They're playing super deep. It's a completely different game from what most NL players are used to. Battles like this don't occur for no reason between regs in this setting. It's never easy to fold quads, but this is the time to do it. She played the hand well IMO.
I once folded KK on a K559J rainbow board to a river 4bet after I 3bet raised in LIMIT O8 lol. Same action as her hand. Checked around on flop and turn. If I can find a fold there for one more small bet in limit, I can definitely find one here with her QQ.
But don’t you win some kind of bad beat jackpot by calling? So you’re hedging your bet, right?
Divide the stakes by 100 (including bet and stack sizes), and this plays out a lot differently.
Although it shouldn't.