AKo in the big blind (2 Viewers)

[Ben]

I'd check. If we were heads-up with button I'd have no problem value-betting AK here and maintaining the lead, but with the short-stacked SB in the hand and a wet board, betting is going to get us into a lot more bad spots than good ones. Neither of them is folding a pair and we're a coinflip with 89o.

 

[detroitdad]

I'd check. If we were heads-up with button I'd have no problem value-betting AK here and maintaining the lead, but with the short-stacked SB in the hand and a wet board, betting is going to get us into a lot more bad spots than good ones. Neither of them is folding a pair and we're a coinflip with 89o.

Your just going to take all my money next month aren't you. Then I'll have to cancel my Casino Royale Tourney set

 

[DrStrange]

*** On to the turn ***

Hero bets $40. Button calls, SB folds. $125 in the pot, heads up. Hero holds

Turn is: < >

Action on Hero - bet or check? If betting, how much?

DrStrange

 

[Chippy McChiperson]

How sticky is he? Will he call a double barrel with a pair less than queens when a third diamond comes out? I'd bet $72 to try and find out.

 

[DrStrange]

Button is sticky. But I think he would fold second pair with no diamond in his hand. He isn't folding often holding a draw at the straight flush.

It is notable that button's favorite hand is 85. Not saying he has that hand, but I know from prior games he would call $100 preflop with 85.

DrStrange

 

[joker80]

Now you will want to double barrel. I just think we could have told the same story with a smaller pre flop raise, smaller C-bet, and smaller double barrel and potentially lose less money

 

[DrStrange]

It is generally true that making smaller bets means you lose less money but bigger bets win more money . . . .

DrStrange

 

[RainmanTrail]

It is generally true that making smaller bets means you lose less money but bigger bets win more money . . . .

DrStrange

Not if you get called and have to roll over your nut runt Anna Kournikova

 

[DrStrange]

I presume then the proper play with AK in the big blind is limp preflop and fold post flop unimproved? That insures Hero loses the minimum.

 

[DrStrange]

*** and now what? ***

Hero checks. Villain bets $50 into the $125 pot.

Villain read - this guy is never stealing, he has a hand. Could be a made flush, could be a pair plus good flush draw. Somewhat less likely, two pair or a set.

Hero note - Hero has made some "backwards" plays this session and villain know that - Hero might have bet his flush draw and then checked when he hit the flush. It isn't likely but it could have happened that way.

Action on Hero, fold, call or raise? If raising, how much.

DrStrange

 

[Chippy McChiperson]

I think its a fold. Villain could already have us drawing dead.

 

[detroitdad]

Villain bets $50 into the $125 pot.

Is this a standard raise from the villain when he "has it"? less than half the pot? Or does he usually bet closer to three quarters? If his bets are normally larger than this. Then I might raise here. However, if this is his standard raise then I probably fold.

If raising I would consider making it 150.

B

 

[DrStrange]

This is not a 'feeler' bet, villain is betting value. We might not totally agree on what 'value' represents but it is always better than Hero's hand.

A second note. This guy would play any two suited cards for $15, so he will have hands like in his range.

DrStrange

 

[Ben]

Just fold. The decision on the turn should have been fire $100 or give up - and I'm ok with giving up. Can't win 'em all. Check-calling is awful.

 

[detroitdad]

Just fold. The decision on the turn should have been fire $100 or give up - and I'm ok with giving up. Can't win 'em all. Check-calling is awful.

I agree. Of course, that second nut flush draw is kind of sexy. Either way I'm not check calling. fold >raise >call

 

[DarPodo]

Fold, then go play with the puppy.

 

[Trihonda]

Fold

 

[DrStrange]

*** and now the river ***

Hero calls. $225 in the pot. Effective stacks $495.

River: < >

Action on Hero. Check or bet, if betting how much?

DrStrange

 

[Ben]

Check-fold.

 

[detroitdad]

Check-fold.

yep

 

[DrStrange]

The first law of holes . . . .

 

[stocky]

Jam.

(I'm working on the assumption that because the Dr hasn't done anything I've said that he will continue to do so and do the opposite and check/fold )

 

[Trihonda]

Check-fold.

Yup. We beat AJo here? Not much else.

 

[DrStrange]

Hero is thinking here - - he didn't make a snap decision. A $500 2x pot jam would put Villain in a tough spot, but villain is a legendary calling-station.

DrStrange

 

[Ben]

This seems like about the worst spot possible to try a 2x pot bluff for so many reasons, but I suppose there are some "stations" that can make huge folds when that kind of money is at stake...

 

[joker80]

Should be a fold, but the fact that you posted the thread tells me otherwise.

 

[stocky]

Fold, then go play with the puppy.

There's a puppy?!?! Fold pre, play with puppy.

 

[Forty4]

Hero is thinking here - - he didn't make a snap decision. A $500 2x pot jam would put Villain in a tough spot, but villain is a legendary calling-station.

DrStrange

Does this play with the pause come across out of character? Would the snap jam seem more believable? This is effectively putting the button on the decision for all of his profit for the night right? I was actually thinking that if you can put him to the test late in the night he might just not want to lose the profits. Of course that was the story you were attempting to tell in the beginning.

 

[DrStrange]

I'll answer this question later on, since villain is going to tell us something about what he thinks.

DrStrange

 

[DrStrange]

*** The end ***

Hero ponders a bit and checks. Villain launches into a speech about how he isn't going to let Hero check raise him and tables for the winning flush.

DrStrange