Legend5555
Full House
Been super busy this week. I will get to the finale and my thoughts at some point.
Totally agree with this. I am surprised this line of thinking is contraversal here.When I get checked raises, this guy is only repping 5x or a bluff, maybe KT, but you'd think that would lead turn. I'm never folding to that range as there are WAY more bluffs from this type of player than there are value hands. Since all his value that raises beats me and the rest are bluffs that can't really call unless he thinks he pot stick himself, I think call works here. The SPR is very weird, but he might just blast river anyway hoping it works.
I do actually disagree with this point. I think against observant players, balance and other gto considerations are certainly important. Against calling stations, I think is better to go full exploit mode and go for full valuetown without deception.keeping some semblance of balance is also important.
Not the way I would go unless hero is 100% certain villain is bluffing.What do you think about jamming his turn check-raise?
That makes no sense unless we think he will call off with a draw.Not the way I would go unless hero is 100% certain villain is bluffing.
I would consider a check raise with a flush draw a semi bluff at best, no? Especially on this board.That makes no sense unless we think he will call off with a draw.
The point is that jamming against a polar range makes no sense. You get called when beat, and folded to otherwise. It only makes sense if you think villain has a lot more bluffs than value and will always call with those bluffs.I would consider a check raise with a flush draw a semi bluff at best, no? Especially on this board.
I feel like we're arguing semantics at this point. Villain check raising this turn card is either a bluff or representative of something really strong like a boat, trips at worst. Villain wouldn't do this with a hand like hero's. That just wouldn't make any sense. I would think that any two pair hand with no possibility of a flush coming in would look to get to showdown as cheaply as possible.
You block the two of the most likely bluff/semibluff cards, too.The point is that jamming against a polar range makes no sense. You get called when beat, and folded to otherwise. It only makes sense if you think villain has a lot more bluffs than value and will always call with those bluffs.
Agreed. That's what I was trying to say, but I suppose in a more roundabout way lol. There's absolutely zero situations I'm jamming here. Getting called only by better and not getting called by worse.The point is that jamming against a polar range makes no sense. You get called when beat, and folded to otherwise. It only makes sense if you think villain has a lot more bluffs than value and will always call with those bluffs.
I think you can get called by a draw that won't call the river after missing. Though that point is moot if as hero, you are planning to check behind on the river anyway.Agreed. That's what I was trying to say, but I suppose in a more roundabout way lol. There's absolutely zero situations I'm jamming here. Getting called only by better and not getting called by worse.
Yeah, I'm not too keen on putting more money in seeing this board pair. I'm taking my showdown value and checking the river in the event the villain is trying to slow play a boat or 5's.I think you can get called by a draw that won't call the river after missing. Though that point is moot if as hero, you are planning to check behind on the river anyway.
Vpip of 100% pre doesn't translate into "calls with anything post."If whale has a vpip of 100% I think its a jam...
Vpip of 100% pre doesn't translate into "calls with anything post."
Exactly. It's a monster flop and hard for anyone else to have anything good enough to call down all 3 streets that doesn't beat top pair. And I even said that you certainly can bet this flop.absolute monster of a flop and talk yourself into checking back because you block *some* second-best combos???
The guys in the early positions are going to have a tough time check calling with Ts if I bet flop. They have to worry the people between could be strong and possibly check raise. Everyone is naturally going to check to me on the flop, so we (as well as the other players) can't learn anything about their ranges from them checking to me. Given the properties of my hand, it's unlikely I can get 3 streets of value, especially multiway, unless I over flush someone."We can get called by Ts, the draws that are in bad shape, worse Ks is they actually checks twice, and even some lower pairs from the guys in later position." How, with these player reads, is none of this also true on the flop? That seems totally backwards. Can you fill in more about these players that makes you think they'll fold Kx or Tx on the flop but call it on the turn?
That's not the only pot controlling line though. If we think it's often going to be a 2 street hand, then we have options of when to get those 2 streets. It also limits some ways we can get paid by weaker hands like Tx. Betting flop is better against draws if we think we can get them to call twice. But it also opens us up to the pot getting very big very quickly.You should be using what you said about the turn to bet the flop, and *then* if you're not convinced people will call a double barrel with their weak Kx, Tx, etc on the turn after it pairs, that's when you check back because you'll maintain pot control and *also* induce a lot of players to either bet those weaker hands for value on the river, of if they check to you they're much more likely to call your river value bet since it now looks like you c-bet, didn't improve, and are bluffing the river. This is like ABC pot-control, see a showdown, milk value on the river strategy.
The guys in the early positions are going to have a tough time check calling with Ts if I bet flop. They have to worry the people between could be strong and possibly check raise. Everyone is naturally going to check to me on the flop, so we (as well as the other players) can't learn anything about their ranges from them checking to me. Given the properties of my hand, it's unlikely I can get 3 streets of value, especially multiway, unless I over flush someone.
High vpips pre flop doesn't always translate into loose action post. With one of these guys, it could. With one, it certainly doesn't. And with the guy that became the main villain, giving him rope is often the best way to make money.
So you and I have very different interpretations of the read you offered in the original post. I would not assume players as loose as described are folding second pair routinely against possible continuation bets.The guys in the early positions are going to have a tough time check calling with Ts if I bet flop. They have to worry the people between could be strong and possibly check raise.
By betting into them, you can learn how much "pure air" is out there that can fold. This seems beneficial given your read that villains are loose and you do have some reason to "fear" just about any card on the turn that doesn't make a flush.Everyone is naturally going to check to me on the flop, so we (as well as the other players) can't learn anything about their ranges from them checking to me.
This is my take too.It seems like you are trying to apply super high-level tactics for a game against people who really, really, really don't require that level of effort.
Why not start at a GTO base and adjust from there?This is my take too.
I kinda wish we put skill levels on strategy threads. Or label them as “GTO PAWM” and “low stakes PAWM.”
I have nothing to offer to somebody who’s trying to play GTO, unless they want to hear an everyman opinion. And since I play low stakes poker against low stakes poker players, I have very little to gain from GTO conversations.
I guess I do appreciate the discussion about how, when we have it all, it’s unlikely that our opponents have any of it. But if I have one thing in common with GTO players, it’s that I have little interest in playing multi-way pots, (especially against maniacs.) So I’d be betting that flop anyway.
Learning GTO would take a lot of work and time and probably money, wouldn’t it?Why not start at a GTO base and adjust from there?
I mean, yes and no? I assume most of us who want to win more hands than we lose will spend money on books, coaching, courses. Maybe not. I know that in the 4 months I've spent on coaching sites I am not close to the amount of money I spent on books in the last 15 years of playing poker.Learning GTO would take a lot of work and time and probably money, wouldn’t it?
Probably the cost of a couple $30 books.Learning GTO would take a lot of work and time and probably money, wouldn’t it?
Yes. But then would I have to actually read that (presumably) painfully dry material, and commit large chunks of it to memory?Probably the cost of a couple $30 books.