My Journey As A Professional Poker Player (14 Viewers)

And we're off!

20210821_161445.jpg
 
Female Bong at table, only in for $200 and playing tighter than yesterday

We'll see if she ramps up when she gets some chips
 
Respect for posting your poorly hand plays and oddball spews - usually people only post stuff that makes them look good. I’m sure your backers appreciate the honesty.

I told them about the $150 dealer tip too, in case they wanted me to eat that cost since it's obviously a much bigger tip than I would normally give
 
We limp-raise the button to $175 with :ah::ac::ks::5c:

Two callers including Mrs Bong who has $125 behind and the SB who just won a big pot

Flop :th::9h::6h:

They both check to me, I decide to not run the naked ace bluff this time

Turn :8c:

SB checks, Mrs Bong rips in $125. I consider a call but SB looks interested so I let it go. He calls.

She has 2 pair, rivers a straight and scoops
 
We are the rock, limped around and on a rainbow flop of A26 theres a $15 bet, one caller, we call, lady on my left makes it $125

We just call. Turn brings wheel draw possibility, plus I pickup a flush draw

We check through river, she has a set of Aces, we lose the minimum

Then a bit later we limp call a raise with KKxx. Flop is K76, we pot, Mrs Bong calls

Turn 7, we check-call her shove. She has a 7 and we hold

20210821_180902.jpg
 
One hour of not winning a hand

Made some preflop raises in position, called some raises, keep whiffing

A slow bleed so far, just staying patient
 
Overall on the day won about $450

Small win at 2/2/5

Small loss at 5/5/10

Small win at 10/10/25

The bigger game had a few action players, but they treaded more cautiously than they do in some of the lower buyin games

One of them raised 4455 pre and hit a well-disguised flop of 852 and made some money
 
Was just looking at my equity in that 2nd big hand right after I won the huge pot the first hand a couple of days ago. I know my cards and the AQT7 are exact hands. The 3rd guys cards are a little fuzzy, but I believe this is pretty close to what he held.

Somehow, my AJ98 was actually the equity favorite, which is pretty nuts. I thought the equities were closer with me as a slight dog when I saw the hands tabled.

equity.png


Back at it tomorrow at TGT's/Luckys. We'll see if Bong shows up to continue his reign of terror with a 100% VPIP and 100% Raise preflop percentage. He lost many thousands of dineros last week, let's hope that trend continues.
 
Somehow, my AJ98 was actually the equity favorite, which is pretty nuts. I thought the equities were closer with me as a slight dog when I saw the hands tabled.

View attachment 761362
Not really -- you're ignoring the 13.61% Tie probability that the other two hands share. The only reason AKQT doesn't show 40.96 is that he's sharing the likelihood of a tie (AQ or AT) with AQT7, not with you.
 
Not really -- you're ignoring the 13.61% Tie probability that the other two hands share. The only reason AKQT doesn't show 40.96 is that he's sharing the likelihood of a tie (AQ or AT) with AQT7, not with you.

I'm not ignoring it. I'm still an equity favorite three ways when you factor in the amount of money that can be won. That guy only scoops 27% of the time and has to chop the pot the other 13%
 
I'm not ignoring it. I'm still an equity favorite three ways when you factor in the amount of money that can be won. That guy only scoops 27% of the time and has to chop the pot the other 13%
The other guy scoops 27% of the time, and he and the other guy share your money 13% of the time. You still lose 40+% of the time.

You may call that being an equity favorite, but you're not considering the overall picture.
 
The other guy scoops 27% of the time, and he and the other guy share your money 13% of the time. You still lose 40+% of the time.

You may call that being an equity favorite, but you're not considering the overall picture.

Having 40% equity three-ways is a long-term profitable scenario
 
The other guy scoops 27% of the time, and he and the other guy share your money 13% of the time. You still lose 40+% of the time.

You may call that being an equity favorite, but you're not considering the overall picture.


If there is a $3,000 pot and we've all put in $1,000 each, and I have 40% equity, then if we run that same scenario over and over until the end of time my expectation is that I will make a $200 profit from each time we do this, when you add up all the wins and losses over time, as my expectation is to put in $1,000 and get $1,200 back.

The guy with 27% scoop equity and 13% chop equity is going to realize an overall profit of:

$810 (27% equity for scoop) + $195 (13% equity halved for chop) = $1,005 (i.e. he makes an overall profit of $5 each time we play out this scenario until the end of time.

The guy with 19% equity to scoop gets $570 + 13% equity halved for chop is $195 = $765. So he's going to be a net loser each time of $235

Now obviously my $200 + the other guys $5 profit do not equal this third players $235 loss. That's because I'm just going with even numbers, the percentages have decimals so using the full percentages would get it right.

But regardless, I still stand by my statement that I'm an "equity favorite" three ways in this specific scenario.
 
poker maff hurts my head.

If you're 40% to win a hand would it not matter if there were 3 , 4 or 8 players in the hand?

40% is 40% no? Which means you are losing more times than winning?

explain it like I'm 5 (buyins deep)
 
poker maff hurts my head.

If you're 40% to win a hand would it not matter if there were 3 , 4 or 8 players in the hand?

40% is 40% no? Which means you are losing more times than winning?

explain it like I'm 5 (buyins deep)
Just imagine winning flips with 8 players at the table 40% of the time … you would be (even more of) a lucky bastard!
 

Create an account or login to comment

You must be a member in order to leave a comment

Create account

Create an account and join our community. It's easy!

Log in

Already have an account? Log in here.

Back
Top Bottom