Official Home Game Pics Thread! (112 Viewers)

OH SHIT NEVERMIND. Mmmm thats sad on gross plastic tables.

Going to be tighter with 14 people.
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Alright! Freezeout, 20min levels, 1000 chips 5/10 blinds to start. Do-able.
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Another good night, didn't come close to winning but had 2 x tables of 10 so there's that!

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Bill was excited over at table 1 !

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My stack shortly before busting, again got it in good (Vinton confirmed) but the poker gods were against me as Jerrod hit his flush on the river . . . Still had a blast!

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May head up to the APO sometime later this week, good tourneys!

Key Details:​

  • Blinds: 2000/4000.
  • Players: 15 remaining, 5 paid.
  • Hero (Middle Position): A♥Q♠, 49,000 (12.25bb stack).
  • Villain (UTG): A♣7♣, 200,000 (~50bb stack).
  • Preflop Action:
    • Villain (UTG) limps for 4000.
    • Hero shoves 49,000 all-in.
    • Folds back to Villain, who calls.
Analysis:

Hero’s Shove:​

  • Correct Play: Shoving with A♥Q in this spot is the best option for multiple reasons:
    1. Stack Size:
      • With 12.25bb, Hero is in a push/fold zone. A strong hand like A♥Q♠ should always be shoved to maximize fold equity and value.
    2. Villain’s Limp:
      • Villain’s limp from UTG indicates either a marginal hand (not strong enough to raise) or a trapping strategy. Against a strong limping range, A♥Q♠ performs well.
    3. Tournament Dynamics:
      • At 15 players, close to the bubble, accumulating chips is crucial to ensure a deeper run. A shove here pressures Villain while utilizing the strength of your hand.
    4. Hand Strength:
      • A♥Q♠ dominates weaker Ax hands and has solid equity against most pairs.



Villain’s Call:​

  • Suboptimal Play: Calling with A♣7♣ is questionable, especially given the bubble pressure and the relative strength of Hero’s shove.
    • ICM Considerations:
      • Villain has a big stack (200,000 / 50bb) and should avoid marginal spots that risk doubling up shorter stacks. Losing this pot would cost them ~25% of their stack, significantly reducing their ability to pressure other players.
      • With 15 players left and 5 paid, Villain gains little by busting you but risks a significant loss of leverage.
    • Range Disparity:
      • Villain’s A♣7♣ is far behind Hero’s shoving range (dominated by AQ+,KQ,TT+AQ+, KQ, TT+AQ+,KQ,TT+).
      • Against Hero’s likely shoving range, A♣7♣ has only ~30-35% equity, making the call marginal at best.
    • Better Lines:
      • Villain should fold A♣7♣ and continue using their large stack to exploit other shorter stacks through pressure and well-timed aggression.



Equity Breakdown:
  • A♥Q♠ vs. A♣7♣:
    • 70% (Hero) vs. 30% (Villain) preflop. Hero is a clear favorite.




Tournament Dynamics:​

  • Hero:
    • Your shove maximizes fold equity and applies pressure in a critical spot. It’s a profitable play, regardless of Villain’s decision.
    • Winning this pot brings you to 108,000 (~27bb), putting you in a much stronger position to navigate the bubble and make the money.
  • Villain:
    • Villain’s call exposes them to unnecessary risk. With their stack, they should prioritize maintaining their chip lead and leveraging ICM pressure rather than risking significant chips against a shove from a medium stack.




Decision Evaluation:​

Hero’s Play:​

  • Your shove with A♥Q♠ is optimal. With 12.25bb, you have no better options in this scenario.

Villain’s Play:​

  • Calling with A♣7♣ is a significant mistake:
    • The hand performs poorly against your shoving range.
    • The risk to Villain’s stack far outweighs the reward.
    • Folding would have preserved their ability to dominate the table.




Lessons and Takeaways:​

  1. Hero:
    • Shoving with premium hands like A♥Q♠ is mandatory in this situation. It capitalizes on fold equity and the strength of your hand.
    • Aggression is key when short-stacked near the bubble, as accumulating chips is crucial for survival and deeper runs.
  2. Villain:
    • With a big stack, it’s essential to avoid high-variance spots against medium stacks. Preserve chips to pressure others and exploit the bubble dynamics.
    • Marginal hands like A♣7♣ are not worth calling shoves, especially when dominated by the shoving range.
  3. Tournament Strategy:
    • ICM pressure near the bubble amplifies the cost of losing chips. Big stacks must be cautious when taking unnecessary risks.
    • Short stacks should push aggressively when they have fold equity and premium hands.
 
Lol, won the first 3 hands, one of which was almost all in. Theyre looking at me funny.
Ran MONSTER hot until I lost with Ten in my hand, 9JQK on the board, opponent whos been playing ATC, has AT and goes all-in over my 300 for 210 more.

10 min break, final 8, top 3 paid. Im above average but not the high where I was.
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Ran MONSTER hot until I lost with Ten in my hand, 9JQK on the board, opponent whos been playing ATC, has AT and goes all-in over my 300 for 210 more.

10 min break, final 8, top 3 paid. Im above average but not the high where I was.
View attachment 1452302
PAHWM, UTG avg stack (3kish), 6 people 3 paid
JJ bets 2bb, 5 callers
Flop 6d 8c 3d
I bet 300
Nutcase shoves for 3k
after few mins, i ask to see a card.
He shows 8d, I fold and get shown T8dd. Knew it could be a flush draw but I cant take that chance man, even if I was a 65% favorite, just too gambly when I think I have a big edge. ICM handcuffs
 
Last edited:
PAHWM, UTG avg stack (3kish), 6 people 3 paid
JJ bets 2bb, 5 callers
Flop 6d 8d 3c
I bet 300
Nutcase shoves for 3k
after few mins, i ask to see a card.
He shows 8d, I fold and get shown T8dd. Knew it could be a flush draw but I cant take that chance man, even if I was a 65% favorite, just too gambly when I think I have a big edge. ICM handcuffs
You better check that deck if there are two 8d in it.
 

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