Being cleared <> being safe.
I think this is one of those times when erring on the side of caution is warranted, given the potential consequences.We stopped gathering in groups because the local heath officials told us we needed to.
When those same health officials tells us it is ok to be in groups, why wait until June/Jul/Aug/etc??
I realize every location is different and has different levels of risk they are dealing with, but if the same officials said it was unsafe are now saying it is ok.....
I am not criticizing or passing judgement on anyone, i'm just having a hard time pulling the trigger to open up and host and I don't know why.
For those of you who host for your crew, when do you see yourself hosting again?
My county lifts its ban on groups >10 on May 3.
Technically I could have a 50 person game on May 4. Many of my crew has asked when I will host again, and most of them want to do it asap.
Not gonna lie, no matter when I do host again it is going to seem like it is too soon.
When is too soon too soon?
So, do you think telling you it is OK being in groups is the same as telling you it's OK to play poker where you are passing cards and chips to each other constantly? Unfortunately for us, playing poker is much more likely to pass a virus than going to the mall or a restaurant.We stopped gathering in groups because the local heath officials told us we needed to.
When those same health officials tells us it is ok to be in groups, why wait until June/Jul/Aug/etc??
I realize every location is different and has different levels of risk they are dealing with, but if the same officials said it was unsafe are now saying it is ok.....
I am not criticizing or passing judgement on anyone, i'm just having a hard time pulling the trigger to open up and host and I don't know why.
So, do you think telling you it is OK being in groups is the same as telling you it's OK to play poker where you are passing cards and chips to each other constantly? Unfortunately for us, playing poker is much more likely to pass a virus than going to the mall or a restaurant.
As far as I understand it, the two main dangers are close proximity to others and sharing surfaces. Poker has both.
I understand the reason for the thread, I think it's a good thread, I am just trying to point out to me, there will be no "clearance" given that has a direct bearing on when I feel safe to host or go to a game. Thanks for the thread, I'm reading with interest here.Well i'm never gonna get the announcement that "it is now ok to play poker" which is why I'm asking opinions for when your area gives the clearance when will you feel comfortable to do so.
I am in the Great State of Texas. A place where the Lt. Governor thinks old people should not just be proud to risk death in order to facilitate the local economy, they should feel obligated to take their chances.
Let's just say I do not have complete confidence in the intellectual competence of our state leaders nor of their intentions. My health is not their top concern. Not claiming malice, just that people need to look out for themselves in the true Libertarian way.
There are 230,000 people in Hays County Texas, with 165 known Covid19 cases. There are certainly more than that, but with limited testing who knows how many? 10x more? 30x more? 75x more? Let's go with 3x more. Any random person is ( 165 x 3 ) / 230,000 = 0.22% likely to be infected. Call it 450 - 1.
My game ranges from 7-9 players on Tuesday night to 8 - 14 on Saturday night. Assume a ten player game.
I don't count as a risk to myself, the collective risk is ~20% than one of the other players is Covid19 positive. There are some prior events that mitigate the risk. Someone seriously sick isn't likely to attend the game for example. Even someone with a spouse who was sick staying home we hope. Let's cut the risk in half. Call it 10% someone comes to the game with the Coronavirus.
I appreciate the consequences of getting the plague and dying is lower than feared at first. But the conservative 3x multiplier on cases imbeds a degree of lower mortality risk in the calculation. It is all a barely educated guess though.
Hosting a poker game is an order of magnitude more risky now than it was in March when I cancelled my games. If I was afraid of the risk in mid-March, I should be terrified to play cards at this time. I am also mindful my games are filled with old people and/or people with special risk factors.
Bottom line, there isn't a chance I play cards of any sort now ( early may 2020 ), no matter what advice I get from the leadership of the State of Texas. I can do my own math. (10% risk of exposure) x (25% infection rate at a poker game) x (1% mortality for old sick people) = 4000 to 1 for each of us, every game.
There aren't many things we would freely choose to do with a mortality risk of 4000 -1 per event.
Not a chance in hell -=- DrStrange
I skipped over most of it. Sorry, I'm just not going to live my life in fear. If I get the virus, I suspect I will survive it. If it's my time, well, I think I'm right with God, so bring me on home then. Of course I take reasonable precautions, I'm not an idiot. But we take calculated risks every day of our lives. I could slip in the shower and crack open my skull. I could get wiped out by an 18 wheeler every time I venture onto the roads. There are hundreds of other diseases and illnesses I could catch. This is basically the flu or pneumonia, only more contagious.Most threads more than 3-4 lines I will speed read to get the idea of what is said.
@DrStrange's posts get read word for word EVERY time.
#neverdisappointed
So not until 2021? Or do you mean May 21st?March 21 is when I am hoping to host a game since this is when everything's opening over here. Not sure if this will come through. I haven't extended invites yet and will be waiting to see how things pan out over the next week or two.
So you are Covid free....I find this interesting since you are 6 months off of the US seasonally and they are anticipating a resurgence in 6 months here.....My state has allowed groups of up to 10 to gather as of Monday just gone.
So whenever I can organise. But we are basically a covid free zone, so the risk is almost 0 at this point.
It felt weird seeing my mates again for the first time in a while. We were all a bit unsure how to greet eachother
May 21st, when my current city opens up.So not until 2021? Or do you mean May 21st?
Western Australia has only had 551 cases, most of which came straight off cruise ships and planes and into forced hotel quarantine. So our community transmission is next to nothing.So you are Covid free....I find this interesting since you are 6 months off of the US and they are anticipating a resurgence in 6 months here.....
My state has allowed groups of up to 10 to gather as of Monday just gone.
So whenever I can organise. But we are basically a covid free zone, so the risk is almost 0 at this point.
It felt weird seeing my mates again for the first time in a while. We were all a bit unsure how to greet eachother
I was referring to the northern/southern hemisphere season's when I said 6 months.Western Australia has only had 551 cases, most of which came straight off cruise ships and planes and into forced hotel quarantine. So our community transmission is next to nothing.
For the past 5-6 weeks our state borders have been completely closed and anyone returning is escorted to hotels or an island just off the coast for 14 days forced quarantine. Even within the state we are locked into regional zones and cannot travel outside of them.
Our first case was reported in late January. For the past 10 days we have recorded about 5 new cases total. So we are most certainly not 6 months away from the USA. The American response has been nothing but pitiful. Same for England actually, where the rest of my family lives.
Perth is the most isolated city in the world and the whole state is sparsely populated, so those factors work in our favour. It does mean that we are closed off to the rest of the world until a vaccine is manufactured though.
ATM our government is reopening the State in stages, but acknowledging that we are going to get another wave. For now, I'm venturing out in a sensible manner, and am meeting up with my close-knit social group, but not any further than that. We are being encouraged to stick to smaller social cells.
The government has released an app too, which tracks it and if your location indicates you have been exposed to a confirmed case, you receive a text notifying you that you should get tested.
Well it's coming into winter right about now if that's what you mean. I can't keep track of all the different climates in the US and AUS. Both countries are too bloody large.I was referring to the northern/southern hemisphere season's when I said 6 months.
ird seeing my mates again for the first time in a while. We were all a bit unsure how to greet eachother
I’ll host again when there is either an obtainable vaccine or a very reliable treatment that dramatically reduced the risk of long term complications and death if I did get COVID-19.
Sadly, I’m thinking this is mid-2021
Only 7 hours to Salina for me. See you next weekend!My group never quit but I haven't been participating. However tonight. I am making my Ali like return to the ring!
Stay at home order expires tomorrow. Restaurants can open Monday. Things getting back to normal. We are a small community of 50,000. Only 21 cases reported in entire county.