MrCatPants
Full House
Glad you all are having the discussion I hoped when posting this hand.
SB checks
Hero bets 14,000
Button smooth calls
SB takes his exactly 20 seconds and folds
Pot is 62,000
Turn brings
Action on hero.
Pretty similar to other hands. Qq I think is a near 100% 3bet from this button on the button. Don't think he'd be floating j10 (maybe j10s, but that may be a 3 bet too....didn't have enough able time to judge that) with a nitty aggressor and then the bully stack still to act.Is button using their image here? When you say smooth call, how does it compare to other hands? Do you put them on QQ or J10 after that?
Min cash blows. Go big or go home.Top two pair got to keep betting. I’d make it about 30K. Shoving isn’t a bad idea either. If he has us beaten I guess so be it. Are we trying to min cash or have a chance to move up the ladder?
2) was wondering if I went too strong
So you made the money? Or did you blow it all on the next hand?
Hero is in the middle of most of the thinking here - thinking if button peeled with an Ax hand or a KQ (or even QJ/Q10 that now has gutter possibilities) he can get strong value, and also potentially fold out the club draw with only one card to go and crappy implied odds given my stack so thought to go a little bigger but not jam as the jam calling range is much more limited.
Context : 1k buy-in NLHE freeze out, 420/2663 runners at level 15 - everyone has been playing poker for about twelve hours at this point. Money bubble is still 20 players away. Average stack is a little over 100k. Structured with BB ante - at level 15 we are playing 3,000/5,000/5,000.
Relevant players:
CO (Hero) : 120K - has not seen a flop at this table in about 30-40 minutes of play
BTN : 280k - active player but not reckless, has won a couple of showdowns since I've been at the table and is winning more than his fair share of pots overall.
SB : 140k - wrapped up like a Star Wars sand person, all I can see is a nose under sunglasses, scarf wrap, hoodie, and headphones. The type of player where every decision takes 20+ seconds. GTO bot.
BB : 400k - one of the chip leaders in the overall tournament at this point, definitely starting to bully his position
Pot is 13,000
Folds to hero, who looks down at
Hero opens to 10,000
Button calls
SB calls
BB folds
Pot is 38,000
Flop comes
SB checks
Hero bets 14,000
Button smooth calls
SB takes his exactly 20 seconds and folds
Pot is 62,000
Turn brings
Hero leads for 40k
Button snap folds.
The end. Posted this hand for 1) a bubble discussion with a very strong holding in position and 2) was wondering if I went too strong/my assumptions were faulty on what he'd likely be floating that flop with. I did not find out what he had.