I think I'm going to go the Blanton's horses route and build a simple board for em. Can someone check my thinking about the odds/numbers of holes in each late?
So the basic odds are easy. 1/36 for 2 & 12. 2/36 for 3 & 11, etc. If I multiply those odds by 2 then I get 2 holes for the 2 & 12 lanes, 4 holes for the 3 & 11 lanes, etc. So far, so good. That gives a layout like this.
![1649003099260.png 1649003099260.png](https://www.pokerchipforum.com/data/attachments/888/888119-9df91e06bb307d02765087317c056e39.jpg?hash=nfkeBrswfQ)
The problem comes in that there's one extra hop needed to cross the finish line. So with this layout it actually takes three hops to win in the 2 lane, 5 hops to win the 3 lane. And that whacks the odds a bit. So I think I need to adjust the hole layout so that the actual number of hops are true-odds, right? But that would make the 7 lane way full of holes (would need total 18 hops so 17 holes in the middle). That seems like a lot. Plus I have this total anecdotal feeling when we've played that the 7 lane is a tougher win lane (completely illogical I know) so I kinda like the 7 lane being a little shorter than true odds.
Any thoughts?
So the basic odds are easy. 1/36 for 2 & 12. 2/36 for 3 & 11, etc. If I multiply those odds by 2 then I get 2 holes for the 2 & 12 lanes, 4 holes for the 3 & 11 lanes, etc. So far, so good. That gives a layout like this.
![1649003099260.png 1649003099260.png](https://www.pokerchipforum.com/data/attachments/888/888119-9df91e06bb307d02765087317c056e39.jpg?hash=nfkeBrswfQ)
The problem comes in that there's one extra hop needed to cross the finish line. So with this layout it actually takes three hops to win in the 2 lane, 5 hops to win the 3 lane. And that whacks the odds a bit. So I think I need to adjust the hole layout so that the actual number of hops are true-odds, right? But that would make the 7 lane way full of holes (would need total 18 hops so 17 holes in the middle). That seems like a lot. Plus I have this total anecdotal feeling when we've played that the 7 lane is a tougher win lane (completely illogical I know) so I kinda like the 7 lane being a little shorter than true odds.
Any thoughts?